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Emerson College poll shows Rep. Ralph Norman and Sen. Darline Graham leading South Carolina GOP Senate primary
The Apex Times

THE APEX TIMES

Politics/The Apex Times/Jul 30, 10:54 AM EDT

Emerson College poll shows Rep. Ralph Norman and Sen. Darline Graham leading South Carolina GOP Senate primary

A new Emerson College poll released Thursday found Rep. Ralph Norman and Sen. Darline Graham with the largest shares of support among Republican voters in South Carolina’s Senate primary, as the state’s GOP primary race moves toward filling the seat for a six-year term following Lindsey Graham’s death.

South Carolina’s Republican Senate primary is shaping up as a two-candidate fight, according to a new Emerson College poll released Thursday that shows Rep. Ralph Norman and Sen. Darline Graham leading among voters likely to support candidates in the GOP contest.

The poll, conducted by Emerson College, found Norman with 22 percent support, followed by Graham, who was described as running next in the survey results. The remaining candidates were clustered behind the top pair, according to The Hill’s account of the poll.

The race centers on who will win the party nomination for a full six-year term after former Sen. Lindsey Graham’s sudden death created a vacancy. In South Carolina, the GOP primary is expected to determine the outcome of the general election in a state where Republicans hold a clear electoral advantage.

Norman, a U.S. House member from South Carolina, and Graham, a sitting state senator, are both campaigning to secure the Republican nomination. The Emerson poll places them at the top of the field, underscoring how the contest’s momentum appears to have consolidated around the two lawmakers.

The poll finding comes as South Carolina Republican voters consider both candidates’ legislative and electoral records and their positions on issues commonly debated in the state’s federal and state-level campaigns. The Hill report did not outline a separate issue breakdown, focusing instead on the topline vote shares among likely primary voters.

The next practical step for the primary is for voters to cast ballots ahead of the GOP contest’s scheduled election timeline, with the nominee expected to face the winner of the other party’s process in the general election. As the race moves toward Election Day, additional polling and ballot-testing would likely provide further detail on whether support remains concentrated between the two leaders identified in the Emerson survey.

Why It Matters

  • The poll suggests the GOP nomination is likely to be decided between the two top vote-getters in the Republican primary.
  • A tightly clustered field behind the leaders could increase the importance of late-deciding voters and coalition-building as the election approaches.
  • The winner of the Republican primary is expected to control the party’s path to the general election for a six-year Senate term created by the vacancy.

Sources

Key Facts

  • An Emerson College poll released Thursday shows Rep. Ralph Norman leading with 22 percent support in South Carolina’s Republican Senate primary.
  • The same poll lists Sen. Darline Graham as the next-highest candidate in the Republican contest, ahead of other contenders.
  • Both Norman and Graham are running to serve a full six-year term following the sudden death of Sen. Lindsey Graham.
  • The Hill reported the poll in the context of the GOP primary race for the open South Carolina Senate seat.